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Wayne's spaceEvaluating career options beyond the traditional PC industry, including Broadband & Wireless Internet, Web 2.0 & Cloud Computing, and Nanotech or Green-tech. |
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About Homeowners of Texas.org
I've been doing pro bono consulting work for this organization, including strategy development, IT support, web design (www.HomeownersOfTexas.org), and social networking (http://HomeownersOfTexas.Ning.com). Quote Welcome to Homeowners of Texas WSJ article: “For Most People, College is a Waste of Time”Dr. Charles Murray, I enjoyed your article and look forward to your book, “Real Education: Four Simple Truths for Bringing America's Schools Back to Reality"
Accredited certification testing may help address the education crisis that I wrote about in response to a NY Times article on “fake college degrees.” I argued that “diploma mills” exist to fill a market need, because the education system isn’t completely meeting needs of workers and employers, especially in these changing times of shorter careers, higher tuition, a tougher economy, employers making shorter-term decisions, and increases in H-1B visas. I too questioned the relevancy of our academic system and the college degree.
My perspective comes as a 30-year retired IBMer with extensive technical, management and personal development training and research experience at IBM that never translated into a masters degree or PhD. That’s only now become a problem as I’ve become a job-seeker, and I welcome more innovative ways to let employers know when candidates are qualified for the jobs they seek.
For fields with little change, like accounting, certification testing could be an answer. One flaw in certification testing, however, is that it could shift emphasis from imparting general knowledge to “teaching the test.” And as a futurist who watched his son Adrian graduate from The University of Texas without ever reading a book, and who sees the exponential pace of innovation and change, I’ve noticed a shift in learning – from “just in case” to “just in time.” Adrian, for example, found it far more effective to go online for many perspectives of a book than to read and interpret it himself, and his ability to “find” the answer has been more important to his success than the ability to “know” the answer.
A second flaw in testing comes with the rapid evolution of technology, where what’s most important is the ability to adapt, learn and innovate. So, I especially like the marketing tagline of St. Edwards University here in Austin – “We teach you to think.” Having attended intense IBM-only classes at Harvard and Princeton, I’ve noticed a marked difference in teaching styles and the quality of education between different universities, so I won’t put down the Ivy League. But on the other hand, I think we do need new ways for workers to continue their education without additional 2- or 4-year college commitments and with an ability to convey their qualifications without a degree. Telecom policy positions differ widely between presidential candidatesAs the self-proclaimed Bishop of BIG Broadband, working to bridge the digital divide and bring ultra-fast Internet access to the masses, I must thank the Austin American Statesman for publishing Christopher Stern’s article. It’s a “must read” for everyone who uses a computer or the Internet, or wants to.
Let’s see now, which presidential candidate is best qualified to make technology and telecom policy? Is it the one who is computer literate and inquisitive, or the one who is so out of touch that he avoids technology, the PC and the Internet altogether?
Senator John McCain’s reliance on advisors Rick Davis, Charlie Black and Michael Powell is extremely dangerous, because they have close ties to telecom monopolies, and McCain lacks the “personal” perspectives that might otherwise allow him to question proposals that make perfect sense for big corporations but little to no sense for our nation. Instead, he favors a hands-off approach that lets market forces do their work, without realizing that big telcos (and cable companies) have stifled competition and innovation.
In stark contrast, Senator Barack Obama seems to understand that government can have a vital role in promoting innovation, the universal adoption of broadband Internet, and the technologies that can address problems in Education (e.g. Distance Learning with multimedia collaboration), Healthcare (Telemedicine), Economic Development (B2B & B2C e-Commerce), Energy & Transportation (Telework & Telepresence), Accessibility (remote signing & lip reading), Scientific Discovery (cloud & grid computing), e-government, and even Public Safety & National Security. It seems from Stern’s article that Obama “gets it” and McCain doesn’t.
And I like Obama’s telecom advisors too. As a past member of the FCC Consumer Advisory Committee, I am a fan of Reed Hunt, the past FCC Chairman in the Clinton administration who is now advising Obama. I’m not much of a fan of either Powell or Martin, the current FCC Chairman, since I think they listen too much to incumbents and not enough to competitors and the public. Diploma Mills – derogatory term or needed service?I sent this last week as an op-ed response to an article by Diana Jean Schemo of the New York Times, “Fake college degrees raise terror concerns” which was republished in the Austin American-Statesman on Sunday, 6/29/2008. Her claim was that fake degrees could help terrorists gain entry to the U.S., but it’s important to understand why this industry exists in the first place.
Internet startups offering academic credit and degrees for life experiences are often labeled “diploma mills” when they lack accreditation, but this growing industry exists because educational needs are going unfulfilled.
Our nation faces an education crisis that causes me to question the relevancy of our academic system in these changing times of shorter careers and higher tuition in a tougher economy, as well as employers making short-term decisions and increases in H-1B visas.
Major universities have been slow to change and give credit for learning received outside of their classrooms, and they criticize the innovators who are doing so. Their arguments are valid when bogus degrees have no merit and the diplomas are exchanged for cash. But other times an online diploma captures expertise that can’t be gained in classrooms and might otherwise not appear on a resume.
Shorter Careers and Higher Tuition in a Tough EconomyCollege degrees help us get jobs and establish careers, but it’s getting harder to justify the rising costs, as careers get shorter and loans get harder to come by. Rather than working for one company for 30 years or more, we now tend to change careers several times in a lifetime and jobs more often than that, so there are fewer years to recover the cost of education before updating our skills and credentials for the next career.
What’s needed is a better way for employers to evaluate a candidate’s ability to perform and learn. If major colleges and universities don’t fulfill that need, others will, and the “diploma mill” industry is a result.
The Shrinking Small Business AlternativeIf it’s getting harder to justify the cost and time of a college degree, as well as the continued costs to renew skills with each new career, why not just become a self-employed entrepreneur? Because, public policies have evolved to favor large corporations with economies of scale in buying power, marketing, and lobby influence. That influence has made it harder and riskier to start small businesses that compete with larger ones; and the danger of this trend is a slow decline in both innovative risk-taking and education preparedness. The U.S. is losing its global competitiveness.
Short-term Decision MakingPart of the problem appears to be short-term decision making. Too many large companies now fire good workers when projects end, and hire others with specific skills for new projects, rather than retraining. This seems to occur when quarterly profits get more attention than strategic long-term investments, when CEO compensation is tied to stockholder returns, and when retirement plans shift from traditional pensions to 401Ks that emphasize stock performance. The result of this behavior is a decline in loyalty – companies less loyal to employees, and workers less loyal to employers. It leads to shorter careers and the need to retool skills and explain those lessons learned from life experiences.
H-1B Visas citing Bogus DegreesDisplaced high-tech workers worry about competition from an increasing number of foreign guest workers on H-1B visas, and some ask if “diploma mills” could be a tool for terrorists. It’s possible, if U.S. employers rely on fake Ph.D. degrees to show regulators that foreign new hires have the specialized knowledge required by law.
The security exposure occurs when it’s easy to buy a diploma with no oversight and agreed-upon accreditation. Diploma mills also undermine the credibility of legitimate attempts to test and quantify expertise to comply with accepted standards.
Accreditation and Quality StandardsEmployers rely on accreditation as a trusted way to gauge job candidate qualifications, which often come from a university degree; but similar credibility can come from formal testing laboratories and certification specialists. The problem with diploma mills is when certification specialists aren’t themselves qualified and take shortcuts to “sell” diplomas. That, and the lack of oversight, leads employers to distrust some candidate credentials.
The Internet as a Distance Learning SolutionBecause of the importance of life-long learning beyond high school and college, workers need affordable and convenient ways to gain new skills for new careers while still working in older ones. One approach is with online distance learning programs, but workers also need ways to show qualifications and learning obtained from life experiences. So an online certificate, diploma or degree that packages a mix of classroom and life experiences into a credible bundle denoting competence should be helpful to both employee and employer and not arbitrarily discredited.
The Virtual Classroom – Saving the Planet is a good article by Brian Egler, describing his real-life experience helping enterprise IT shops eliminate the high travel costs of technical training.
My Own Experience (only for perspective, not to publish)I started working at IBM before completing any of my three Associate degrees. Even after completing a Bachelor’s degree, I saw no resulting increase in salary. That’s because a degree is just a door opener and, once inside, advancement depends on proven performance. IBM nurtured my career, providing at least a month of technical and management training each year for the 30 years I was there, sometimes in places like Harvard and Princeton, and it valued these courses and my career progress.
After leaving IBM, I found it difficult to quantify the value of lessons learned from those company classes, or the many years worth of on-the-job experience, which collectively exceed the requirements of an MBA but aren’t packaged into a nice, accredited degree.
Likewise, the many market research reports that I wrote at IBM or afterwards as an independent consultant, would match the dissertation requirements of a Ph.D., but alas that credential escapes me too. Having these graduate degrees would make it easier to explain my qualifications, but universities don’t substitute testing of life experience for classroom instruction and demand a given amount of tuition revenue before granting a degree.
I noticed that after returning from the Vietnam War. I had lost my 2-S deferment and was drafted but was able to take civilian classes while moving around in the Army. My first step after returning home was to work nights at IBM while completing courses at my old community college that, in one semester, earned three Associate degrees.
I then transferred to American University. I had accumulated way more credits than needed for a Bachelor’s Degree, and they accepted the credits, but they wouldn’t let me just pay for the diploma. So, because I had already taken all of the undergraduate courses, I ended up getting my BS with all graduate-level courses.
Maybe I should buy my advanced degrees online from a diploma mill. Municipal Connectivity - My CommentsThe James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy at Rice University recently hosted a Conference on Convergence and Connectivity, and a summary was published in Municipal Connectivity Provision: Societal Imperative or Fiscal Folly. This paper by Dr. Christopher Bronk and Kirsten Jones describes many telecom policy issues in a small space but neglects the important points noted below, which I’ll try to add to a rewrite of my own paper on BIG Broadband, which is widely read but already 3 years old and needs refreshing.
1. Different Objectives & Solutions No one technology or business model fits the diverse needs and objectives of all municipalities, so policy makers need to allow for and encourage innovation, avoid picking winners, and apply lessons from older infrastructure deployments. · The technology of choice (copper, fiber, powerline, wireless) can depend on both the objective and physical topology (flat or hilly, open space or dense forest, rural or tall buildings). · The business model of choice can also vary (public, private or public/private partnership). For example, electricity was once so crucial to economic development that towns that couldn’t get it built their own electric plants. And to get cable TV, they often granted franchised monopolies, a trade-off that would knowingly limit competition. · Municipalities can write-off investments over a longer period of time than for-profit companies can (e.g. 10+ years vs. less than 3 years), and they can measure success differently. Rather than ROI and profit margin, it’s things like public safety, universal access, tourism, economic development, the number of school kids going to college, telework & telemedicine, energy management, or even survival if the town’s main industry is off-shored. · The Municipal Connectivity paper mentions Verizon’s 6-month ROI on its FiOS network, but at what subscriber rate? By adding wireless phone service to its bundle and increasing average revenues from $120/month per subscriber to $200, and by examining their other competitive advantages, Verizon recently started an experiment to overbuild AT&T’s U-Verse in north Dallas suburbs. If successful, this would go against the conventional thinking of what is economically viable. 2. Public R.O.W. · Each company deploying private fiber networks needs access to rights of way, and having multiple providers can mean constantly digging up streets, as well as increased costs of public works projects (roads, sewers, etc) and delays while finding the fiber. On the other hand, if cities were to lay new public fiber during every new road or sewer project, they would theoretically know where it is. · Important infrastructures are built on public land, using public funds, and retaining public ownership for a reason – for efficient land use and to encourage competition. It doesn’t make sense for every shipping company (e.g. FedEx & UPS) to build its own highways and charge tolls for use or place limits on competitors. And it doesn’t make sense for every airline (American, Delta, United) to build its own airports. · The Information Superhighway (as a public/private partnership) can be compared to the Interstate Highway system, state highways, neighborhood roads, and private driveways – some built with public funds over public property, and some by private land developers and homeowners. 3. Fiber vs. Wireless · Wireless offers mobility but is a volatile and rapidly developing technology and, with so much churn, it’s best for projects with quick payback. Wireless is also a good choice for the Private side of a public/private partnership, because it’s easy for multiple competitors to overbuild adjoining networks in the same airspace, without sharing physical infrastructure. · Fiber, on the other hand, is physical cabling that has limitless capacity and fits into long-range plans. Open access fiber networks that go across public rights of way are ideal for the Public portion of public/private partnerships and encourage competition by lowering the cost of entry to just the subscriber electronics and not the sunk costs of cabling. By comparison, private fiber is a natural monopoly, because of new FCC rules that eliminate requirements for sharing access, and higher deployment costs that make overbuilds more difficult to justify. 4. Application Hierarchy · References to a “1% higher rate of job growth due to broadband Internet access” gave no details on the speeds and applications enabled, which was important when the FCC defined “broadband” as anything faster than 200 Kbps in any one direction. · There are huge differences between the types of applications that are possible over dialup (56Kbps max) and those that can run over T-1 (1.5Mbps), Wi-Fi (54Mbps with .11g), FiOS (50Mbps up, 20Mbps down), and faster fiber networks. Japan already has 1Gbps services for less cost than I pay for cable, and that speed enables rich Telepresence. · Telework is an important application of Telepresence due to rising gas prices, limited highway construction, and the fact that it’s currently easier to outsource to India than to Indiana. · Telemedicine is important due to the rising healthcare costs for an aging citizenry. · And Distance Learning helps workers retool their skills as careers get shorter (now just 3-5 years instead of 30 or more). 5. High Deployment Costs · Verizon may likely spend $23 billion on its FiOS network, as noted in the paper, but the untold story is more important. U.S. consumers have already paid over $200 billion in USF (Universal Service Funds) and related fees for the promised fiber networks that we never got. · TeleTruth.org describes these fees and broken Bell companies promises in an eBook, $200 Billion Broadband Scandal. “By now, 86M US households should already have had broadband connections of 45 Mbps in each direction. The networks were to be everywhere equally, including in rural towns and low-income neighborhoods, and open to ALL competition.” · It's one of the largest scandals in American history - bigger than Enron and WorldCom. The Bells got the money and never made the investments and, as a result, our nation lost its broadband and high-tech leadership. · The public and its elected officials need to understand this history lesson and make sure we protect ourselves from similar events in the future. 6. High Maintenance Costs · The Municipal Connectivity paper describes declining equipment costs due to the effect of Moore’s Law, offset by rising maintenance costs due to rising wages. I disagree with that assessment, however, because technology, including self-forming and self-healing mesh networks, is evolving to make things EASIER to install and use with less labor. · When comparing maintenance costs, we should also consider the aggregate cost and disruption of installing and maintaining separate private networks versus a public (or public/private) network, which ought to be less. 7. National Broadband Policy · Digital convergence, with networks now supporting so many services, raises new telecom policy issues and is why we need a national policy that views broadband as critical infrastructure, embraces the future, and breaks from the past. · As I said at the beginning of this post, there’s no magic formula for what will work best in each community, but we can learn from the history of other critical infrastructures. Electric utility deregulation is a good model. In Texas at least, utilities had to pick one of three industries to be in. a. Power generation was deregulated to encourage completion between coal, natural gas, hydro, geothermal, nuclear, solar, wind, and other alternative sources, including power generated onsite and put back onto the grid. b. Retail sales was also deregulated to encourage competition in service packaging, billing and customer support. c. The grid itself stayed highly regulated, because it makes no sense to have separate grids for each type of power. · Telecom deregulation that separates services from the network infrastructure would not only encourage competition and public/private partnerships but also address the root cause of the Net Neutrality debate, where consumers worry that incumbent network operators will block competing services or relegate them to the slow lane. · One deregulation model is for companies like AT&T to become infrastructure landlords in partnership with cities, selling wholesale network access and getting out of consumer services. · Another model is for them to continue selling services but divest their fiber infrastructure to municipalities or others who would act as landlord. · The UTOPIA project in Utah is a deregulation example that functions like the Airport business model, where cities build airports on public land with public funds, and revenue bonds are paid off by gate fees and retailer rents. This model maintains ownership of the airport to encourage competition among carriers, but actual construction and operation are outsourced, rather than develop those competencies in-house. |
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